The visual effects Oscar is one of the few categories that correlates with box office success. The vfx winner is almost always a smash that outdraws the best picture winner — except when it is the best picture winner.
  VISUAL F/X OSCAR BEST PICTURE OSCAR
Year Winner Global B.O.   Winner Global B.O.
1996 Independence Day $817,000,000   The English Patient $232,000,000
1997 Titanic 1,850,800,000   Titanic 1,850,800,000
1998 What Dreams May Come 106,600,000   Shakespeare In Love 289,000,000
1999 The Matrix 462,500,000   American Beauty 348,700,000
2000 Gladiator 458,700,000   Gladiator 458,700,000
2001 The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship ... 871,400,000   A Beautiful Mind 317,800,000
2002 The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers 926,400,000   Chicago 307,700,000
2003 The Lord of the Rings: The Return ... 1,118,700,000   The Lord of the Rings: The Return ... 1,118,700,000
2004 Spider-Man 2 783,800,000   Million Dollar Baby 221,000,000
2005 King Kong 549,400,000   Crash 99,600,000
2006 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s ... 1,064,300,000   The Departed 236,000,000


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