FINAL UPDATE: Guilds continue to clear up the picture
With all pre-nom guilds accounted for (save for the MPSE, which tends to nominate after the Oscar nods), the six frontrunners remain unscathed, and even pull closer to one another with "No Country for Old Men" and "There Will Be Blood" missing with the Costume Designers Guild. "Sweeney Todd" still lurks in the shadows, and "Atonement" is hoping for major support from BAFTA cross-over voters, but this looks to be the dance. Pick five and hold your breath.
8 guild mentions:
"No Country for Old Men" -- ACE, ADG, ASC, CAS, DGA, PGA, SAG (3), WGA
7 guild mentions:
"There Will Be Blood" -- ACE, ADG, ASC, DGA, PGA, SAG (1), WGA
6 guild mentions:
"The Diving Bell and the Butterfly" -- ASC, ADG, CDG, DGA, PGA, WGA (also AMPAS makeup bake-off finalist)
"Into the Wild" -- ACE, CAS, CDG, DGA, SAG (4), WGA
"Michael Clayton" -- ACE, ADG, DGA, PGA, SAG (3), WGA
5 guild mentions:
"Juno" -- ACE, CDG, PGA, SAG (1), WGA
4 guild mentions:
"300" -- ADG, CAS, CDG, VES (1) (also AMPAS makeup and visual effects bake-off finalist)
"Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End" -- ADG, ACE, CDG, VES (6) (also AMPAS makeup and visual effects bake-off finalist)
"Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street" -- ACE, ADG, CDG, VES (1) (also AMPAS makeup bake-off finalist)
3 guild mentions:
"Atonement" -- ADG, ASC, CDG
"The Bourne Ultimatum" -- ACE, ADG, CAS (also AMPAS visual effects bake-off finalst)
"Elizabeth The Golden Age" -- ADG, CDG, SAG (1)
"The Golden Compass" -- ADG, CDG, VES (1) (also AMPAS visual effects bake-off finalst)
"Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix" -- ADG, CDG, VES (3) (also AMPAS makeup and visual effects bake-off finalist)
"Ratatouille" -- ACE, ADG, VES (4)
2 guild mentions:
"3:10 to Yuma" -- CDG, SAG (1)
"American Gangster" -- ADG, SAG (2)
"The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford" -- ASC, SAG (1)
"Blades of Glory" -- CDG, VES (1)
"Hairspray" -- ACE, SAG (1)
"La Vie en Rose" -- CDG, SAG (1) (also AMPAS makeup bake-off finalist)
"Lars and the Real Girl" -- SAG (1), WGA
"Transformers" -- CAS, VES (5) (also AMPAS visual effects bake-off finalist)
"Zodiac" -- WGA, VES (2) (also nominated for USC Scripter award)
1 guild mention:
"Away from Her" -- SAG (1)
"Beowulf" -- VES (2)
"Eastern Promises" -- SAG (1)
"Enchanted" -- CDG
"Gone Baby Gone" -- SAG (1)
"Knocked Up" -- WGA
"I Am Legend" -- VES (5) (also AMPAS visual effects bake-off finalist)
"I'm Not There" -- SAG (1)
"The Kite Runner" -- ADG
"Live Free or Die Hard" -- VES (1)
"A Mighty Heart" -- SAG (1)
"Ocean's Thirteen" -- CDG (1)
"The Savages" -- WGA
"Spider-Man 3" -- VES (3)
"Shrek the Third" -- VES (2)
"Surf's Up" -- VES (4)
"The Water Horse: Legend of the Deep" -- VES (2)
"We Own the Night" -- VES (1)
8 guild mentions:
"No Country for Old Men" -- ACE, ADG, ASC, CAS, DGA, PGA, SAG (3), WGA
7 guild mentions:
"There Will Be Blood" -- ACE, ADG, ASC, DGA, PGA, SAG (1), WGA
6 guild mentions:
"The Diving Bell and the Butterfly" -- ASC, ADG, CDG, DGA, PGA, WGA (also AMPAS makeup bake-off finalist)
"Into the Wild" -- ACE, CAS, CDG, DGA, SAG (4), WGA
"Michael Clayton" -- ACE, ADG, DGA, PGA, SAG (3), WGA
5 guild mentions:
"Juno" -- ACE, CDG, PGA, SAG (1), WGA
4 guild mentions:
"300" -- ADG, CAS, CDG, VES (1) (also AMPAS makeup and visual effects bake-off finalist)
"Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End" -- ADG, ACE, CDG, VES (6) (also AMPAS makeup and visual effects bake-off finalist)
"Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street" -- ACE, ADG, CDG, VES (1) (also AMPAS makeup bake-off finalist)
3 guild mentions:
"Atonement" -- ADG, ASC, CDG
"The Bourne Ultimatum" -- ACE, ADG, CAS (also AMPAS visual effects bake-off finalst)
"Elizabeth The Golden Age" -- ADG, CDG, SAG (1)
"The Golden Compass" -- ADG, CDG, VES (1) (also AMPAS visual effects bake-off finalst)
"Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix" -- ADG, CDG, VES (3) (also AMPAS makeup and visual effects bake-off finalist)
"Ratatouille" -- ACE, ADG, VES (4)
2 guild mentions:
"3:10 to Yuma" -- CDG, SAG (1)
"American Gangster" -- ADG, SAG (2)
"The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford" -- ASC, SAG (1)
"Blades of Glory" -- CDG, VES (1)
"Hairspray" -- ACE, SAG (1)
"La Vie en Rose" -- CDG, SAG (1) (also AMPAS makeup bake-off finalist)
"Lars and the Real Girl" -- SAG (1), WGA
"Transformers" -- CAS, VES (5) (also AMPAS visual effects bake-off finalist)
"Zodiac" -- WGA, VES (2) (also nominated for USC Scripter award)
1 guild mention:
"Away from Her" -- SAG (1)
"Beowulf" -- VES (2)
"Eastern Promises" -- SAG (1)
"Enchanted" -- CDG
"Gone Baby Gone" -- SAG (1)
"Knocked Up" -- WGA
"I Am Legend" -- VES (5) (also AMPAS visual effects bake-off finalist)
"I'm Not There" -- SAG (1)
"The Kite Runner" -- ADG
"Live Free or Die Hard" -- VES (1)
"A Mighty Heart" -- SAG (1)
"Ocean's Thirteen" -- CDG (1)
"The Savages" -- WGA
"Spider-Man 3" -- VES (3)
"Shrek the Third" -- VES (2)
"Surf's Up" -- VES (4)
"The Water Horse: Legend of the Deep" -- VES (2)
"We Own the Night" -- VES (1)
Red Carpet District is Variety contributor Kristopher Tapley's attempt at making sense of the ever-expanding glut of film awards coverage. He's been on the beat for six years. Email 
don't be so sure that Atonement is out of the race, remember: Iwo Jima wasn't the only one with almost zero love from the Guilds(due to it's late release) Atonement could pull a CHOCOLAT OR ELIZABETH upset.(no PGA or DGA love for both, only Chocolat got a WGA mention)
Posted by: NICOLAS ILIOPOULOS | 1/16/2008 4:42:04 AM
Sound reasoning, wesley.
Posted by: Kristopher Tapley | 1/15/2008 11:12:31 AM
SAG voters, actors and actresses, are the majority of voters in the Academy, so I guess as Into the Wild is top on SAG nominations, it's gonna be in the run for Best Picture in the Academy Awards.
Posted by: wesley sena | 1/15/2008 10:06:24 AM
Thanks Alison.
Posted by: Kristopher Tapley | 1/14/2008 1:41:54 PM
Kris, the numbers are right but you forgot to add PGA under There Will Be Blood and Michael Clayton.
Posted by: Alison | 1/14/2008 1:33:25 PM
Although, to be honest, a movie like NCfOM - with it's immense support - has an easy time getting nominations from places like the freakin' art directors guild. I mean, sure, it's got good "contemporary" art direction, but the contemporary categories are always ridiculous. They’re just filled with the critically aclaimed movies and maybe a zeitgeist hit or two.
Surely something like “Grindhouse†deserves a contemporary costume nod? “Black Snake Moan†for contemporary art direction? Sure, and others too, but they’d never get a nomination because – wow – “Michael Clayton†had some nice offices? Meh.
Posted by: Glenn | 1/12/2008 11:55:20 PM
WEIRD. Thanks.
Posted by: Kristopher Tapley | 1/12/2008 1:16:03 AM
Thanks for this list of tallies, I was wondering what it looked like.
But you got a little carried away with dishing out CAS noms... neither Sweeney nor Hairspray received mentions by CAS!
Posted by: soderbergh98 | 1/11/2008 1:57:52 PM