Variety has the story.  The 15 films eligible for January's bake-off are:

"Beowulf"
"The Bourne Ultimatum"
"Evan Almighty"
"The Golden Compass"
"Harry Potter And The Order Of The Phoenix"
"I Am Legend"
"Live Free Or Die Hard"
"National Treasure: Book Of Secrets"
"Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End"
"Ratatouille"
"Spider-Man 3"
"Sunshine"
"300"
"Transformers" 
"The Water Horse"

I have to say, I'm somewhat surprised that "Sweeney Todd" didn't at least make this initial list of 15.

Anyway, I've been getting a weird feeling lately that "The Water Horse" could pop up and surprise as the third nominee in this category.  Everyone pretty much concedes that "Transformers" is in (and likely the eventual winner), while some think sequel fatigue could hurt "Pirates" or "Spider-Man 3."  But surely one of those will get in, right?

I'm thinking the third might come down to "The Golden Compass," "Live free or Die Hard" or "The Water Horse," judging from the branch's typicalities.  Though "300" slipping in certainly wouldn't surprise.

Hey, maybe those seven will be next week's bake-off finalists.